Sentiment Jul 22

Intermarket correlations:

  • Middle East conflict is over
  • Now watch yields, trade war is back
  • JGB yields new high
  • Copper spike 10%, good for stocks?

DG gamma negative again

CPCE very complacent -> liquidity breaks

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Dow above Dec low

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NAAIM 99 -> 86

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NDXA50 and 20 both bearish

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NYMO -20

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VIX no new low

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Seasonality - July best month in Q3

Conclusion: lower stops on shorts gradually