Sentiment May 19

Market has bottomed on April 7:

  • ZN bottomed on Apr 11, now approaching the bottom again
  • Copper on April 7
  • Gold on Apr 7 and topped on Apr 22
  • Silver on Apr 7 and topped on Apr 25
  • USDJPY bottomed on Apr 22, same as DXY

DG flat

CPCE very complacent

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Dow above Dec low

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NAAIM less bullish

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NDXA20 hitting 85 and curling down slightly

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NYMO less bullish

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VIX down

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Seasonality - May may be more equivocal between buy and sell

Conclusion: sentiment rolling over? Shorting the potential top