Sentiment May 2

Suppose market has bottomed on April 7:

  • ZN bottomed on Apr 11
  • Copper on April 7
  • Gold on Apr 7 and topped on Apr 22
  • Silver on Apr 7 and not topped yet
  • USDJPY bottomed on Apr 22, same as DXY

DG more bullish

CPCE less complacent

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Dow below Dec low

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NAAIM less bearish

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NDXA20 hitting 80

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NYMO down to 70

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VIX down

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Seasonality - May may be more equivocal between buy and sell

Conclusion: sentiment overheating, but price uptrend still strong, tread carefully